음...
폴리마켓 + 파이낸셜주스 vs 밸리 가슴이 웅장해지는 대결....
근데 GDP 서프라이즈랑 그날 주가 방향성이랑 일반적인 상관관계는 없다네요 그냥 gdp발표일에는 평소보다 더 롱이라네(근데사실 확실치않음 왜냐면 얘네가 리턴에버리지를 본게아니라 업다운카운트만해서)
We found that, perhaps contrary to intuition, on release days, the market performance was statistically significantly better than the long-term average daily return, regardless of whether the GDP change was negative or positive. Dividing the events into positive and negative surprise groups showed the same picture
