일본 증시 추세 전환(?)

추세를 돌릴 급등이었는지는 연초 흐름을 지켜보면 알 수 있겠다.

니케이255

지난 8월 초 엔케리 트레이드 청산 이슈와 관련해서 꽤 심각한 급락을 거치고 10월부터 형성한 상단 저항에 부딪힌 상태이지만 어쨌거나 저항선까지 급히 올라가긴 했다.

토픽스

니케이와 비슷하지만 다른 점은 지난 8월 이후 고점과 저점을 꾸준히 높히고 있었다는 점이다.

달러-엔 그리고 달러-원 환율

파란색이 엔화, 녹색이 원화이다.

둘 다 지난 9월말 전후로 약세 흐름인데, 원화가 더 가파르고 주구장창 약세이다.

시총상위주 움직임

비교적 골고루 강한 상승이 있었다.

원인이 궁금해졌다. TerminalX에 물어봤다.

TerminalX

The surge in the Japanese stock market on December 28, 2024, was driven by a combination of macroeconomic factors such as a weaker yen and dovish Bank of Japan (BOJ) policies, alongside individual company performances and broader market trends.

Macroeconomic Factors

• Yen Depreciation: The yen weakened to 158.08 per US dollar, its lowest in nearly six months, benefiting major exporters and contributing to the stock market rise. This depreciation followed comments from BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda, which did not indicate an imminent interest rate hike, maintaining a dovish stance 4.

• BOJ's Monetary Policy: The BOJ's commitment to monetary policy normalization, while avoiding zero interest rate constraints, has been seen as positive for financial sector stocks. The expectation of a March rate hike further supported market optimism 6.

• Inflation and Fiscal Policy: Japan's inflation rose for the second consecutive month in December, and the government approved a record budget for the next fiscal year, increasing spending on social welfare and defense 4. This fiscal expansion is expected to support further inflation and potential BOJ rate hikes 8.

Individual Company and Market Trends

• Top Performers: Companies ...